The 2025 season is fast approaching! Until February 27, the day before the opening round in Thailand, Parlons MotoGP will focus on each of the riders entered in the premier class. We will discuss the anticipation they generate, their abilities, and, finally, deliver a little prediction. Today, it is time to discuss the future of Alex Marquez, Gresini rider in MotoGP.
Yesterday we returned to the case of Joan Mir in an article that I invite you to find by clicking here.
Misunderstanding
This is one of our biggest disagreements.. Since he arrived at Gresini at the beginning of 2023, every time I talk about Alex Marquez, it's war in the comments. I must admit that I have never understood why. In my opinion, he is a driver MotoGP correct but nothing more, who goes through the seasons by only being talked about for the wrong reasons. Of course, I think that his surname plays an important role in the support he receives, but even if I force myself, I don't see what makes it exceptional..
Indeed, he has two Sprint wins and a pole. But he had a very good bike (on which Diggia, Bezzecchi and Marini had done better). Moreover, he is the only rider who has been with the Ducati Gresini team (since 2022) not to have won a Grand Prix. Photo: Gresini
I am only talking about his experience in MotoGP here, that is, since 2020. I found him very good in Moto3, and also strong in Moto2, two categories in which he was crowned. His rookie year at Honda Repsol was quite successful, with these two podiums at Aragon and Le Mans. But since then, he stagnates, at least in my opinion.
The year 2024, I believe, proves this sad analysis right. What did he do? There is that podium at the Sachsenring, in the company of his brother, yes. It was a beautiful moment, but offered by the fall of Jorge Martin a few laps before the end. However, he had a good race, nothing to complain about. But what about the rest? An eighth place overall, without any pole, podium in Sprint or best lap in race. And yet, this eighth place is rather well paid! He equals Franco Morbidelli with 173 points while the latter had not been able to prepare for the season, which cost him his first races. Alex is also ahead of Di Giannantonio thanks to the latter's absence on the last two rounds. In reality, it is more around 10th place.
Change?
The real question is: Why would this change in 2025? Why would he improve all of a sudden, being in the same team, with a similar dynamic to that of the beginning of 2024? This time, he no longer has his brother to motivate him, to pull him up. Fermin Aldeguer, his new teammate, could cause him some problems during the year but overall, he has little chance of being beaten. And then, it should be noted that it is extended until 2026, which means he won't have to force his talent for a new place as was the case for Fabio Di Giannantonio at the end of 2023. So a fairly serene year is on the horizon.
His new mount. Photo: Gresini Racing
On the bike side, I think the Ducati Desmosedici GP24 will be significantly less capable than the GP25, with a similar gap to the one between the GP24 and the GP23 last year. This could work against it, but to counterbalance, there will be two fewer Ducatis.
Prognosis
What do we have when we put it all together? A driver who has been stagnant for two years, capable of one or two good races a year, with, it is true, an interesting speed in qualifying. A rather messy driver, too, who doesn't hesitate to jostle for position in the Sprint – and who incidentally clashed with more or less the entire grid. But in reality, a discreet driver in the standings, who makes his way without shining. The context is rather comfortable, which is ironically synonymous with unfavorable at the highest level.
We don't see him much, and I don't see why that would change. So, of course, I imagine him faster than an Aldeguer, and he will probably be quite well placed, in his standards. For him, I see a campaign ending between seventh and ninth place, again, which would be a pretty good result. Without making too many waves, without breaking the bank, exactly like his campaigns since 2020. This is just my opinion, and of course, I could be wrong – even if I had predicted his 2024 season correctly.
What does your crystal ball tell you about Alex Marquez? Tell me in the comments!
As a reminder, this article only reflects the thoughts of its author, and not of the entire editorial team.
Cover photo: Gresini Racing
