The history of Grands Prix in the premier category shows that, in 85% of cases, the one who takes the lead in the general classification at mid-season is titled at the final whistle, and this necessarily bodes well for Fabio Quartararo. However, what is promised to him in the next seven Grands Prix will not be a cakewalk and he got a taste of the battles that await him during the last one which took place at Silverstone. A track where he finished eighth and on which he triumphed in 2021. In this regard, the Frenchman has never materialized on the circuits yet to come on the calendar, unlike Pecco Bagnaia...
This is one of the elements to take into account for this last part of the campaign: never fabio quartararo won on the circuits which will enhance the competition until its end. However, there are circuits which theoretically do not displease the Yamaha . But the data dates from 2019. At that time, the Frenchman finished second in the Japan, riding a Thailand, Casa Particular in Viñales, still on the M1, had achieved the same ranking at Sepang, while Phillip Island Marc Marquez had dominated Crutchlow and Ducati by Dovizioso. As for Valencia, the epilogue turned out to be a final bouquet Ducati last year, with three Desmosedici on the podium, led by bagnaia. The latter had also dominated his subject at Misano and Aragon...
bagnaia finds himself in a similar situation to last season. The Piedmontese of 25 years is forced to return and try to close a significant gap with the leader of the ranking. The delay is still significant, either 49 points, but there are two points that work in favor of the Italian. First of all the technical aspect linked to the motorcycle: the Ducati is undoubtedly the most competitive motorcycle of the moment, undoubtedly the most complete. The same cannot be said of the Yamaha , fast only in the hands of Quarterly and in difficulty compared to the next tracks on the calendar which give pride of place to engine power. From this point of view, the M1 should suffer in Aragon in Motegi, Sepang et Red Bull Ring.
Pecco Bagnaia had been a threat to Fabio Quartararo at the end of last season, but the Aprilia were not there
Ducati This year seems to have reduced the gap that separated it from the Japanese motorcycle in terms of handling, thus showing itself to be potentially competitive on all types of track. On the list of the seven upcoming races, bagnaia showed himself as winner three times last year, namely Aragon, Misano et Valencia. Not to mention that the next round will take place in Austria, a historically pro-Ducati track, victorious five times out of six participations. But this year, a quibble on the Austrian track. We will only discover the effects this weekend.
It can also be mentioned that fabio quartararo is isolated, while bagnaia can count on his teammate Jack Miller in all circumstances and on the rest of the troop Ducati if an order has been passed from the Borgo Panigale headquarters. A scenario that the second championship Aleix Espargaró feels good… “ I think Ducati and Bagnaia have taken a big step forward in the championship. They can work in a team » commented the official Aprilia at Silverstone… As if to drown the fish.
Because focusing on bagnaia, it's forgetting a little quickly that this title race MotoGP is played by three. And time is running out for the pilot Ducati who no longer has the right to make mistakes. He must win to overcome the reigning World Champion and we saw at Silverstone that it will not be so easy against the RS-GP. There are two of them, what’s more, with one Casa Particular in Viñales who understood the role of referee that he will play in this melee: “ I want Aprilia to win the world championship. It will be difficult for me to win, because I am far behind and there are not enough races to close the gap. If I can, I will help Aleix and Aprilia » he commented with this mention: “ it would be a good way to show my appreciation for the support and trust I received during difficult times. Now I have clear ideas about what I want and what I don't want ».
In short, no matter how much we turn over all the figures and construct all the scenarios, we will always arrive at the same conclusion: we can predict everything, except what will happen. We must therefore not miss anything from the rest of the events…
